The Giving Climate · Fundraising Intelligence

Donor Segment Intelligence

The economy hits each donor segment differently

A market dip barely touches a major donor's capacity but can stop a $25 monthly gift cold. See the climate score for all four segments.

Overall

All donors

Major Gifts

$10,000+

Midlevel

$1K–$9.9K

Low Dollar

Under $1K

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Overall Climate Score

—

Awaiting Analysis

out of 100

→ vs. prior year

Run analysis to compare

Challenging Caution Favorable

Vertical · affects forecast & narrative

              Sector adjusts the 6-month forecast and narrative.
              The composite score reflects broad economic signals.
            

AI Fundraising Intelligence · Current Assessment

Click "Run Analysis" to generate a current assessment of the economic environment and its implications for nonprofit fundraising strategy.

How to read this forecast

Each bar shows the projected fundraising climate score for that month: the higher the bar, the better the giving environment. The shaded band above and below shows the range of likely outcomes based on how volatile each economic signal has been historically. A wider band means more uncertainty. The risk rating below each bar tells you at a glance whether that month is a good time to push hard, hold steady, or focus on retention.

Risk ratings: High Risk: protect retention, pause major asks Elevated Risk: steward, don't push Caution: selective asks only Stabilizing: conditions improving Opportunity: favorable for asks

Month-by-month outlook · Score out of 100 · Overall Environment MODEL PROJECTION

        Run Analysis to generate forecast
      

Month-by-month climate scores for 2026 based on actual economic conditions each month. Scores reflect the giving level selected above. New months are added as data becomes available.

Admin: Update Monthly Data

Auto-fill the latest completed month from live data, review the numbers, add a note, and save. No redeploy needed.

S&P YoY %

Confidence

Unemploy. %

CPI %

Fed %

Note (one line of context)

Admin save key

The chart below shows the model score for each year (bar height) alongside the actual change in charitable giving (line). Years where the model and actual giving moved in the same direction are correct calls. Some years reflect shock conditions the model cannot fully predict from economic signals alone, such as the 2020 pandemic giving surge.

        Model score ≥ 60 (favorable)
        Model score 45–59 (caution)
        Model score < 45 (challenging)
        Actual giving YoY change
      